EVIE · Historical and current-season research
Betting analysis
One simulation per game, using currently promoted rules. Compare game bucket compounding, daily compounding, and fixed $10 bets.
Research group: none selected
Intraday bankroll
Cash plus open bets at cost, updated at openings and individual estimated settlements.
Game simulations
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| Sport | Rule | Aggregated confidence | Bet amount | Fill price | Contract count | Bet result | Settlement value |
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All matching games appear in this table.
Historical OOS samples and completed current-season games matching currently promoted rules. Confidence pools discovery and OOS non-push results; it is not refit on the added current-season results. This is retrospective analysis, and rules need not have been promoted before these games. Current-season results grade the research proposition from completed canonical scores; these are simulations, not recorded trades. Prices use Polymarket US where available, then an international exact or nearest favorable contract at 30 minutes before start or before kickoff; hover over a price for its source and time. The matchup shows the selected contract line; rule labels and confidence retain the research proposition. Adjacent bets use the provider-confirmed contract outcome. Fractional contracts equal bet amount / price; wins pay $1 per contract, losses pay $0, and pushes refund the stake. Missing prices and unresolved results are excluded from simulated bets.
Estimated prices use the cumulative average of earlier observed prices for the same sport and bet type (spread or over/under), strictly before each game's pregame cutoff. Estimates never feed the average, and page filters never change it. Without earlier observations, a price stays unavailable. Estimated bets use the original research line and its saved OOS result.